Transatlantic
Council on Migration
The Demographic Reality
The Demography of China and India: Effects on Migration to High-Income Countries
Michael J. White and Inku Subedi of Brown University map the two countries’ differing age structures and demographic trajectories through 2030, examining the working-age populations of China and India, particularly in the age group most likely to migrate.
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Emerging Demographic Trends in Asia and the Pacific: Implications for International Migration
Graeme Hugo of the University of Adelaide explores how Asia’s exponential growth of recent decades will not be sustained in the medium to long term amid declining fertility rates – and how Asian destination countries increasingly will be competing with OECD countries for skilled migrants from Asia and the Pacific.
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Demographic Trends in Mexico: The Implications for Skilled Migration
Elena Zúñiga of the Universidad Aut ó noma de Zacatecas, Unidad de Estudios del Desarrollo and independent consultant Miguel Molina examine the growing flow of Mexican professionals heading to the United States – and how projections suggest the demand in Mexico for professionals could outstrip supply after 2025.
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Charting
the Demographic Course across the Mediterranean
By Philippe Fargues
This paper, prepared for the Transatlantic Council on Migration, examines
the demographic future for the Middle East and North Africa through 2030 – and
notes that the MENA region’s growing supply of young, educated
workers is occurring against the backdrop of Europe’s aging population
and below-replacement fertility. While at first sight it appears obvious
that the MENA region will play a pivotal role in Europe’s hunt
for skilled workers, the paper outlines that the European Union isn’t
the sole destination for MENA migrants.
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Eastern
Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa: The Most Demographically Extreme Regions
By Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, and Samir K.C.
The world’s two most demographically extreme regions are sub-Saharan
Africa, which is experiencing the most rapid population growth, and Eastern
Europe, which has the fastest shrinking population. In this paper, prepared
for the Transatlantic Council on Migration, the authors track the region’s
divergent paths through 2030 and examine labor-force trends, educational
attainment, and implications for future migration to Europe.
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Recession and Immigration
Migration and the Global Recession
By Michael Fix, Demetrios G. Papademetriou, Jeanne Batalova, Aaron Terrazas, Serena Yi-Ying Lin, and Michelle Mittelstadt
The global financial crisis that began in September 2008 can be viewed as having a deeper and more global effect on the movement of people around the world than any other economic downturn in the post-World War II era of migration, finds a new MPI report commissioned by the BBC World Service. The report explores how the recession has affected the movement of some of the world's more than 195 million migrants and their remittances in locations around the globe. It provides data on migration, remittances, employment, and poverty rates for immigrants and the native-born alike; and examines the policy changes some countries have enacted to suppress migrant inflows, encourage departures (including through recent "pay-to-go" plans), and protect labor markets for native-born workers.
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Immigration
in the United Kingdom: The Recession and Beyond
By Will Somerville and Madeleine Sumption
Will the recession reduce immigrant inflows to the United Kingdom and encourage
return migration as immigrants find it more difficult to get jobs? There is already
evidence that Eastern European workers are arriving in significantly smaller
numbers. Still, the report makes clear that immigration will by no means cease
during the recession in part because the downturn also is affecting immigrant-source
countries and because migration decisions are not governed solely by economic
concerns.
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report
Immigration
and the Labor Market: Theory, Evidence, and Policy
By Will Somerville and Madeleine Sumption
With the current economic downturn leading to questions over the value of economic
migration, this report examines labor-market conditions in the United Kingdom.
While there is consensus among economic researchers that immigration has only
a small impact on the average wages of all workers, the report suggests that
policymakers cannot ignore immigrants’ role in the labor market. Interventions
to assist low-skilled workers, integration policies, and employer-sponsored training
are essential tools to mitigate real and perceived effects of immigration.
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report
Migration and the Economic
Downturn: What to Expect in the European Union
By Demetrios G. Papademetriou, Madeleine Sumption, and Will Somerville
As unemployment rises and household budgets shrink across the European
Union, policymakers, analysts, and the public are beginning to ask what
the consequences will be with respect to immigration. The implications
of the recession should not be underestimated. The downturn is likely
to affect the kind of immigrants that arrive and leave, with implications
for labor supply in certain sectors, for integration, and for the host
communities.
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Immigrants and the Current Economic Crisis
By Demetrios G. Papademetriou and Aaron Terrazas
As the United States sinks into a recession that may be the worst since the Great Depression, the economic crisis raises fundamental questions about future immigration flows to and from the United States and how current and prospective immigrants will fare. This report, a research product of MPI's new Labor Markets Initiative, examines how the number of immigrants has changed since the recession began; how legal and illegal immigration flows may change; and how immigrants fare in the labor market during downturns.
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| Listen to the Briefing
More on the Labor Markets Initiative here
The Citizenship Papers: Delivering Citizenship
Once a narrow, largely placid legal backwater, citizenship has become
a dynamic policy vehicle for promoting the political incorporation and
more complete integration of immigrants. These five papers, commissioned
for the Council’s April 2008 meeting, examine various facets of citizenship.
Stakeholder Citizenship: An Idea Whose Time Has Come?
Rainer Bauböck of the European University Institute proposes a stakeholder
principle to guide citizenship policies in Europe and North America. Download
Paper.
Dual Citizenship in an Age of Mobility
Thomas Faist and Jürgen Gerdes of Bielefeld University discuss the
evolution of global views towards dual citizenship and discuss its benefits
and drawbacks. Download Paper.
Local Voting Rights for Non-Nationals in Europe
This paper, by University of Nijmegen Sociology of Law Professor Kees Groenendijk,
examines what is known and what should be learned about local voting
rights across Europe and their effect on integration, naturalization,
and political participation. Download Paper.
A New Citizenship Bargain for the Age of Mobility?
Randall A. Hansen of the University of Toronto details citizenship requirements
in Europe and North America, examining individual countries’ language,
civics, and citizenship test mandates. Download Paper.
The Complexities of Immigration: Why Western Countries Struggle with Immigration
Politics and Policies
Jennifer L. Hochschild of Harvard and John Mollenkopf of the City University
of New York discuss the complexities facing political parties of the left
and right sparked by high levels of immigration. Download Paper.

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Talent, Competitiveness and Migration
This second book of the Transatlantic Council on Migration, published by the Bertelsmann Stiftung, maps how profound demographic change is likely to affect the size and character of global migration flows; and how governments can shape immigration policy in a world increasingly attuned to the hunt for talent.
To order a copy, click here. |

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Delivering Citizenship
This book, published by the Bertelsmann Stiftung, is the first major
product of the Transatlantic Council on Migration. It offers insights
into key aspects of the citizenship debate from a policy perspective,
and is a result of the Council’s deliberations and thinking.
To order a copy, click
here. |
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The Transatlantic Council on Migration
The Council is a unique deliberative body that examines vital immigration
and immigrant integration policy issues and informs migration policymaking
processes across the Atlantic community. Read more.
June 2009 – Berlin, Germany
Extraordinary meeting of the Council
Theme: Integration at the Local Level – Diversity, Social Cohesion, and the Descendants of Immigrants
May 2009 – Bellagio, Italy
Theme: Public Opinion, Media Coverage, and Migration
November 2008 - New York, NY
Theme: International Competitiveness and the Future of Migration.
April 2008 - Bellagio, Italy
Themes: Migration and Development, and Citizenship and Identity in the 21st Century.
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