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HOT SPOTS
By Erin Patrick

In this new column, MPI Associate Policy Analyst Erin Patrick examines international crises and humanitarian efforts to assist and protect refugees and internally displaced people. Politically and socially complex, these situations require immediate attention, and usually, action, but they often present political and geographical obstacles that can hamper the effectiveness of aid efforts. This monthly series of articles is designed to stimulate discussion on still-unfolding situations and raise important policy questions for the international community.

Click for larger map
Please click to enlarge map.
Source: United Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations.

Background
Darfur is the westernmost and largest province of Sudan. Its inhabitants can be most simply divided into two major groups, black African farmers and Arab herders. Though the two groups have clashed frequently throughout Darfur’s history, such conflicts have been largely over resources and access to land and were for the most part resolved through traditional tribal settlement mechanisms.

More recently, however, the conflict has become politicized and has taken on distinct ethnic and racial undertones, with Darfur serving as a base for anti-government forces. In February 2003, rebel groups attacked Sudanese troops, accusing the government of arming Arab militias to attack African villages. Since April 2003, an Arab militia called the Janjaweed has been systematically attacking, looting and destroying villages belonging to those tribes thought to support the two major African rebel groups in the region, the Sudanese Liberation Army (SLA) and the Justice and Equality Movement (JEM). The Sudanese government has also initiated offensives, including aerial bombing, against the African populations in Darfur which it considers disloyal.

The violence and destruction have killed an untold number of civilians and caused massive displacement, including 110,000 refugees in Chad and estimates of one million internally displaced persons. The security and humanitarian situation is precarious for both groups. UNHCR is working to move the refugee camps deeper into Chad after reports of cross-border raids. Lack of access by international humanitarian and human rights agencies into Darfur has representatives of those agencies concerned about the extent of human rights violations, acute water shortages, malnutrition, and disease. The mortality rate of children under 5 years of age in IDP camps has already reached seven times the normal level.

A 45-day renewable humanitarian ceasefire signed by the government, SLA and JEM took effect on April 11, but reports suggest it has already been violated. Meanwhile, the Sudanese government and the Southern People’s Liberation Army (SPLA) are by all accounts very close to signing a formal peace agreement for the 20-year old conflict in southern Sudan.

Ethnic Cleansing and Forced Displacement in Darfur

May 5, 2004

Peace at What Cost?

United Nations and other officials have called Darfur the world’s worst humanitarian crisis and acknowledged that the situation bears all the hallmarks of a campaign of ethnic cleansing. Yet even though it is clear that significant international political pressure helped to push the government and southern rebel groups into a serious peace process, comparably strong and outspoken political criticism of the government’s actions in Darfur has been largely absent. Many commentators have suggested that the international community is reluctant to put too much pressure on Khartoum at such a fragile point in the peace process with the south for fear of disrupting or even killing the nascent agreement altogether. Others go further and raise the possibility that the government may be deliberately delaying the southern peace process in order to give the Janjaweed time to complete their task of killing, displacing or otherwise gaining control of non-Arab Darfurians.

No one doubts that a true peace in the south is sorely needed, and would be a key step in helping millions of southern Sudanese begin to recover from decades of brutal conflict, famine and human rights abuses. But if achieving such a settlement comes at the expense of a million or more Darfurian civilians, can it really be considered peace?

Why has there been such limited international attention to the crisis in Darfur? Is the Sudanese government’s denial of access part of a political game involving the south? What is the appropriate role of the international community in a situation in which condemning or intervening in one crisis may serve to exacerbate another?

Answers are far from straightforward.

The Khartoum government has systematically denied access to a variety of humanitarian actors.
USAID Administrator Andrew Natsios has said, “Every sanction that exists in world history is now in operation against Sudan.” Without recourse to further sanctions, and with mortality and malnutrition rates steadily increasing, the international community is faced with the need to get relief operations on the ground in Darfur as quickly as possible. “Relief diplomacy,” as Natsios put it, has not worked. The Khartoum government has systematically denied access to a variety of humanitarian actors. Much of the aid that has been distributed is looted by the Janjaweed, to such an extent that many uprooted civilians have refused aid rather than risk being attacked by the militias. With no ability on the part of neutral observers to secure delivery and distribution, this trend can only be expected to continue. So what options remain?

Whether or not the international community has a right or responsibility to intervene when is it denied access to civilians in situations of massive death, displacement and human rights violations is one of the most complex and divisive issues in the humanitarian policy debate. Darfur adds even more complexity to that debate, since it seems to have been directly tied – purposefully or not – to the peace process in the south.

Many observers have suggested that if the international community were to intervene on behalf of those suffering in Darfur, Khartoum would be so angered that it would in turn pull out of the peace process in the south. Thus an operation to assist one group of civilians could indirectly harm another. Further, the potential for such an arrangement to even succeed is also under question. Assistance is one thing; protection is often another. Even if international humanitarian agencies gained full access to Darfur, their ability to stave off Janjaweed attacks on beneficiary populations would be limited at best, and civilians could remain in danger. Who would protect them? This is a question that extends far beyond Sudan.

Is it justifiable to sacrifice the human rights or even the lives of suffering civilians in Darfur for the “greater good” of those in the south? Even if the long-term benefits of an effective peace could eventually accrue to Darfur, the prospect would mean little to the more than 100,000 refugees in Chad whose families still in Darfur will be left unassisted and unprotected in order to “save” distant co-nationals that they don’t know, in a region where they’ve never been.

In order for any policy to succeed, it must be practical, and in this case the “practical” is largely a question of predictability. Unlike the internally displaced people in Darfur, refugees have not only a legal framework and a designated agency responsible for their care, but also a more than 50-year history of dealing with their needs. It may not always work correctly, but the system is in place. Those displaced within their own countries, on the other hand, have no such system or precedent for action. When there have been international responses to IDP crises, they have been led by different agencies or even individual states; they have sometimes been purely humanitarian and other times have had a military component; sometimes the UN is involved and at other times NATO plays the lead role. Unpredictability is the only common thread.

The lack of an agreed-upon precedent for humanitarian intervention, and a seeming inability to create one, has hindered the international community’s response to a long list of crises to which Darfur is just the latest addition. Further practical considerations include the availability of resources and the political will to sustain the modest relief efforts that have started and the much more ambitious relief and protection operation that is desperately needed.

A shaky middle ground has begun to emerge in the last few days: the scattered cries of the international community have been met with limited grants of access by the Sudanese government, and the southern peace process remains dormant. Yet most – especially the displaced Darfurians – would agree that this is not sufficient, and the longer the peace process remains dormant the more difficult it will be to revive.

All of these questions raise profound ethical issues that have no definitive answers. The one certainty, however, is that ignoring the true extent of and motivations behind the atrocities in Darfur will only help to perpetuate them.